It has analyzes a little bit wicked not beenpracticable elphaba indicates for us to collate the latest figures for assets and premium incomethis quarter. The global financial situation has been changing so rapidly thatmost numbers would have become out of date. Nevertheless, we expect that, incoming months, it will become obvious that credit growth is slowing dramaticallyin most of the countries whose commercial banking sectors are profiled in BMI’sreports Wicked tickets – drwicked . We will amend the figures – and indeed our forecasts -accordingly.Nevertheless we believe that the figures which we had compiled last quarterprovide insights as to how the various insurance sectors will fare in thecurrent, extremely uncertain, environment Wicked . We have therefore left them, and thecomments on the key issues, essentially unchanged. For almost all the countrieswhose reports we are updating, we are also able to include actual data forcalendar-year 2007, which was not the case for our Q208 reports. The globalfinancial crisis is likely to affect the various segments of the globalinsurance industry in different ways Wicked .

In many countries – especially in Europe -the coming recession points to softness in the non-life segment about wicked . In many cases,the numbers of policies may fall so there should be downwards pressure onpremiums weasel . By contrast, the main problem for the life segment – in almost allcountries – is the extreme volatility of financial markets weazel Wicked – shnsf . Over the longerterm, though, the fortunes of life insurance will recover – thanks to thesecular growth of organised savings in most countries glinda . China, where the largerinsurance companies continue to achieve double digit growth in premium income,is a good example of this.

Some particular niches should also do well in thecurrent environment, such as legal liability insurance In CEE, we profile 22 multi-national insurance companies . In alphabetical order,these are AEGON, AIG, Allianz, Aviva, AXA, Cardif, ERGO, Eureko, Fortis,Generali, GRAWE, Groupama, HDIGerling, HSBC Insurance, ING, MetLife, PrudentialFinancial, QBE, RSA, UNIQA, Vienna Insurance Group and Zurich FinancialServices musicals . We also discuss the regional presence of Belgium’s KBC and Austria’sErste Bank through a number of insurance subsidiaries and explain theimportance, for each of the various countries, of purely domestic firms In 2007, total premiums in Greece rose by 8% to EUR4.70bn broadway . Non-life premiumsrose by 6% to EUR2.16bn, while life premiums rose by 10% to EUR2.50bn . Betweennow and the end of the forecast period, we expect that annual non-life premiumswill grow by EUR5.86bn, while annual life premiums should increase by EUR1.53bn.Growth in non-life premiums should be driven by the general growth in nominalGDP plus a rise in non-life penetration from the current level of 0.85% to2.70%. Growth in life premiums should be driven by the change in the overallpopulation and a rise in life density from US$299 to US$500 per capita BMI’sInsurance Business Environment Rating is 63.7. Companies Mentioned:* AEGON * AIG * Allianz * Aviva * AXA * Cardif * Ergo * Eureko * Fortis * Generali * Grawe * Groupama * HDI-Gerling * HSBC Insurance * ING * MetLife * Prudential Financial * QBE, RSA * UNIQA * Vienna Insurance Group * ZurichFor more information visit and MarketsLaura Wood, Senior Manager, U.S.

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